In addition, the law of the Shemitah allowed for all people and animals to eat freely of the opportunistic crops which grew during the Sabbath year. Create an account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations. The goal of the Shmita Project is to significantly raise awareness of the concept of shmita in Jewish tradition, both as a way to learn about how extraordinary and rich Jewish tradition is, and to animate conversation and change in the world, based on the values and teachings of shmita and focus on environmental sustainability, rest and overwork, Here is the crazy thing, the actual returns are different for the Shmita years. The beginning of American to rise to world power. (Its a translation with an introduction of part of Rav Kooks great book on Shmita, Shabbat Haaretz, since you are kind enough to ask.). To do so, you just have to make better decisions than most others. We are coming into a new Shemitah year. Im afraid I succumbed to a momentary spasm of writer-envy. The message of shmita that a similar cycle applies over seven years has, so far, not. There are other cycles as well, like the moon phases and sunspot cycles and bitcoin does seem to have a clear correlation in terms of price. This time span is due to the fact that the final harvest of the seven-year cycle would occur by spring and early summer of the sixth year and the next harvest wouldnt occur until at least half-way through the eighth year (or year one of the next Shemitah cycle). In 2012, the Christian Rabbi Jonathan Cahn published a book entitled The Harbinger: The Ancient Mystery That Holds the Secret of Americas Future (Frontline Pub Inc). Before moving to Israel he was as an economist in the UK government. The Shemitah years of 1972-1973, 1979-1980, 1986-1987, 2000-2001, and 2007-2008 all correspond to concurrent or subsequent increases in the unemployment rate. The cycle of seven Think about this. Moreover, the amplitude between the peaks and troughs is growing, meaning that the destructive power of the crashes is also growing. Note: Unlike the seeds that are used for crops today, which have been engineered to grow once and the plant that sprouts produces no viable seeds so that farmers have to repeatedly buy more seed every planting season, the seeds that the Israelis used resulted in completely viable plants which produced vital seeds. All during this one Shmita year. Stocks crash, the financial system collapses, and unemployment rises rapidly, oftentimes taking years to recover. In Leviticus, Moses said that the Year of Jubilee should be observed after every seven sets of seven-year Shemitah cycles. Click the link in that email to complete registration so you can comment. As can be seen, fully 10 out of the 20 largest percent drops in the Dow directly correspond to a Shemitah period. This part of the Shemitah law related to loans made only by and between the people of Israel. (Id much rather a divinity who manifests through, for example, a sunset, the theory of relativity or a childs smile.) Now lets have a look at the more recent stock market crashes we have seen. But since then, the popular index is down a little . Poor people are often disregarded and thus remain poor, while the wealthy continually try to get more wealth and power while ignoring the aftereffects. This 1.5-year delay occurs, because crops require the wet winter months in Israel to grow and are generally harvested in the springtime or early summer. Stock market indices are unmanaged, broadly based indices, which differ in numerous respects from the specific portfolio composition. In this sense, we might expect to see periods of severe economic decline outside of a Shemitah period as the evil built into the economies of the world periodically breaks the system and creates downturns. One world order? But in practice, most of us, including eminent economists, forget. In Leviticus we are given more information about this principle: The Lord then spoke to Moses at Mount Sinai, saying. However, Reppond Investments, Inc. makes no representations or guarantees with respect to the accuracy or completeness of that type of data.Past performance is not indicative of future results. Thus, these are the Shemitah years which have occurred since the early 1900s: Shemitah Years2014-20152007-20082000-20011993-19941986-19871979-19801972-19731965-19661958-19591951-19521944-19451937-19381930-19311923-19241916-19171909-19101902-1903. In this article I want to have a look at the Shemitah Cycle also known as the 7-year cycle. and lie still. Everything regarding property ownership would be equalized again at the Year of Jubilee. In fact, since 1950, the. Thus, the agricultural effect occurs during the entire year and immediately thereafter, whereas the effect from the debt release occurs only at the end of the year and its wake. 1937-1938 Shmita Year - 50% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. But I do believe in a God who communicates with us through the Torah. America as the world's super power. We know that this is true, at least in theory. Welcome to our community. For instance, in the following figure, the Dow Jones Industrial Average stretching from the year 1900 to the autumn of 2015 is mapped with the Shemitah years highlighted as transparent yellow bars on top of the curve. Unfortunately, markets have frequently taken this suggestion quite literally! From Shuls to JCCs, Federations to urban farms, I met a wide range of knowledge levels and often had to begin by explaining the abc of shmita, the biblical seven-year agriculture cycle. The biggest Wall Street crash of 1987 happened during Shemitah and so did the bond market carnage of 1994. Copyright 2023 The Blockchain Today Mike Wilson, the chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley, was the No. Is it possible that the Bible provides the reason for this phenomenon as well as details on its origin and properties? You shall thus consecrate the fiftieth year and proclaim a release through the land to all its inhabitants. Therefore, working backward from the Shemitah of 2014-2015, the following years can be calculated to be Shemitahs simply subtracting 7 from each year. . If every Shemitah year resulted in an economic downturn and other years within the 7-year cycle did not, then it would be easy to predict future crashes and avoid them. But it never does. Personal debts are forgiven, and commitments to faith are renewed. As business picks up, people invest, share prices rise, people get excited and invest more, still more investors pile into the market, as everyone seems to me making loads of money so effortlessly; theres exhuberance and euphoria until a few smart alicks figure that assets are inflated way beyond their real values; euphoria gives way to doubt to anxiety to full blown panic; people runs for the hills, the cycle screeches into reverse, fortunes are lost and the whole thing starts all over again. Or as Keynes himself expressed it more pithily, markets can stay irrational for longer than you can stay solvent.. Rigel senior . understanding about current and future events. The bond market bubble has popped, and forward-looking Treasury returns are no longer a disaster. Decisions are often based on knowledge, so increasing your knowledge is a great thing. So you shall not wrong one another, but you shall fear your God; for I am the Lord your God.. To follow these laws, the people had to have a strong faith in God that He would get them through the years of no planting, no harvesting, and all this combined with the major economic releases of debt and property. Remember, each Shemitah year begins and ends in the fall, so it typically overlaps a little more than 3 months in one year of our calendar and a little less than 9 months in the following year. came crashing down to earth. the realm of finances, economies and empires: From the following table it can be seen that 14 out of the 20 most significant point drops correlate to a Shemitah year or its wake. Despite expectations that the 2023 general elections will further dampen confidence in the Nigerian stock market, the market opened the week positive yesterday, extending gains from last week as the benchmark index closed by 0.69% to settle at 55,328.42 points.. Table 1. Please use the following structure: example@domain.com, Send me The Times of Israel Daily Edition. Jubilee is based on letting the land rest every 7th year, known as the Shmita year. As we learned in the four sections on Daniels Prophecy of the Seventy Weeks and the section on The Scattering of Judah and Jerusalem, Israel was taken captive into Babylon for exactly 70 years to make up for the 707 years (490 years) that the Jews didnt follow the Shemitah for the land. This part of the Shemitah thus provided a cooling off period for Israels economy. If the rise of a document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Phi network most valuable crypto in the world, Ukraine zelenskyy virtual into law legalizing. Im not the first analyst using time cycles to predict movements in the financial markets. For instance, there were severe declines in the market in 1907 and 1929 (as a percent decline), but both of these occurred in the middle of a Shemitah cycle and not during the Shemitah year itself or during its wake. They have not been independently audited or verified.Investments in securities involve risk and the loss of investment principal is possible. We thought the MTIwith over 125 inputswas pretty exhaustive. After all, its just a day like any other day. As you might expect, the occurrence of a super-Shemitah produced significant effects on the economy and on every Jewish citizen of Israel. It can be a fearful thing to turn away from self-reliance in getting what you need and become completely reliant on God, especially if you have no faith. The sabbatical year is one of rest, forgiveness, and reflection. Norway's foremost claims manager | Norges fremste klagebehandler. Lets look at this effect in more detail by considering more extensive data sets. All or some of these data points would be expected to correlate to the Shemitah years and show up as downturns, if there is really an effect that God designed into the economic systems of the world. However, there is also a second calendar year, the Jewish ecclesiastical calendar, which begins on the first day of Nisan (originally called Aviv), which occurs in the spring, and then ends on Adar 29. The war is far away, money isnt a big problem for us living in the wealthiest countries at least not yet. But a combo of time cycles suggests a major low is due any time. (photo credit: AP Photo/Tsafrir Abayov). Shemitah, the last year of a seven-year cycle in the Jewish calendar, has several times in the past brought immense financial hardships to the world. I AM NOT AN EXPERT! Fruit that grew on trees could be picked by anyone and eaten. Since the Shemitah affected Israel so dramatically and caught up to them even when the Jews didnt follow it for centuries, a valid question might be, Does the Shemitah Effect relate not only to Israel, but does it also have relevance to the entire world? Even though Israel as a nation was specifically given the Law of Moses in the beginning to make them distinct from the nations as Gods people, many of the Old Testament laws have application to all of mankind regardless of whether they are Jew or Gentile. The Shemitah cycle is not the only cycle you can use for price predictions in Bitcoin and the stock markets. Mike Maloney is a smart guy, but hes just a man with a view just take a look on his favourite crypto, Hedera Hashgraph (episode 8). The book, (when I could bring myself to open it) turned out to be by a Jewish-born Messianic Christian preacher from New Jersey named Jonathan Cahan. His writings and talks about the Shemitah are very interesting, and at least they should be read and understood by every Christian. These differences are significant (p < 0.05). Therefore, the poor would never be poor forever and the rich would not continually devour the property of the poor. Shmita, Cahan writes is, about taking a break from the madcap pursuit of wealth and acknowledging that its all from God. Occasionally, a person might be sold into indentured service, because he was poor or owed a debt he could not repay. Both dates were the eve of Rosh Hashanah on the final day of a shmita year. Add to the fact that this pandemic is not going out quietly, we will eventually find out that stock markets do not like uncertainty. , where I wrote about a financial crisis, much worse than the one in 2008. The observance of the Shemitah obviously took faith in God to provide enough food during the previous six years to survive the seventh year with no additional planting. He holds semicha, degrees from Oxford and Harvard and lives in Jerusalem with his wife and five children. Press J to jump to the feed. Also, on the seventh year, all debts were to be forgiven (Deuteronomy 15:1-11). 1-ranked portfolio strategist on Wall Street last year.As many analysts remained bullish on the market exiting 2021, Wilson . Downturns occur for many more reasons than a Shemitah Effect. This served to reinforce their reliance on God and decrease their reliance on their own initiative, which is exactly what the Lord wanted to happen. Bayer AG shares fell on Tuesday after the company said fourth-quarter net profit fell, noting that it had a higher number of lawsuits related to . Although Cahn concluded that there was a positive correlation between the Shemitah and economic downturns, this positive conclusion occurred, because Cahns analysis did not include all possible data points; neither did it use standard scientific methods of statistical analysis. Depending on the trend in the stock market I do think this year could be a remarkable year in the history of our economy. What if we could engender the expectation that the seventh year will be a year of readjustment in national or global economics? Thus, according to the Law of Moses, there was a Sabbath every seven days for man to rest and a Sabbath every seven years (Shemitah) for the land to rest. Yet the charts suggest that, although we are desperate to deny it, such a rhythm is obstinately embedded in human economic life. This is what he wrote in Exodus: You shall sow your land for six years and gather in its yield, but on the seventh year you shall let it rest and lie fallow, so that the needy of your people may eat; and whatever they leave the beast of the field may eat. It was 2015, and a church friend of mine was warning about the stock market crash that she was predicting. Six years you shall sow your field, and six years you shall prune your vineyard and gather in its crop. You are to do the same with your vineyard and your olive grove.. Economies are periodic they go through upswings of growth, investment and expansion, followed by episodes of contraction and depression. A Shmita reminds a nation that it's Eight months later, the S&P 500 loss through August has exceeded 10% for only the twelfth time since 1926. People simply cannot be wrong for long. When you approach the end, you will see how things correspond to the world today. hewn stones." For instance, the Ten Commandments clearly have important application to all people throughout all time, not just to the Jews and the nation of Israel. In a personal communication with Adrian Zenz, he told me, from the empirical economic evidence it is impossible to demonstrate or prove a Shemitah effect, as shown also by the low explanatory power scores in my statistical testing, based on different Shemitah time periods. You shall not do any work; it is a sabbath to the Lord in all your dwellings.. The Shmita (judgment) and America converged on September 11, 2001 when the A decade ago, Mike Maloney made an effort to explain it all through a series called Hidden Secrets of Money. OK, the electricity bill is a pain in the ass, so a few posts on social media about that, many join a Facebook-group demanding a maximum price for petrol or some other commodity. After falling about 50% in 2022, Nvidia 's (NASDAQ: NVDA) share prices . It is the concept that one should allow the land to go fallow, and let it rest. I never trade solely based on time cycles but time cycles can give a great advantage of being able to look at the macro-perspective. According to the book of Leviticus, every set of seven Shemitahs was to be followed by a Year of Jubilee in which another major type of release was to take place. 150 South Fifth Street, Suite 1700Minneapolis, MN 55402, 2023 Time Cycles: Two Outta Three Aint Bad. name for ourselves", "Who say in pride and arrogance of heart: The bricks have fallen down, but we will rebuild with tower foreshadowed the rise of America, what does the fall of a tower foreshadow? Introducing shmita, the Torah suggests that there is a seven year cycle of economic activity: Six years shall you sow your land and gather in your yield; but in the seventh year you shall let it rest and lie fallow. (Exodus 23) Then immediately it repeats the idea of Shabbat: Six days you shall do you work, but on the seventh day you shall cease from labor. There's been a major financial disruption in seven of the eight Shmita years dating back to 1966: Read more Written by John Ballard for The Motley Fool ->. These times makes it possible to accumulate wealth, improve your situation. 2022 was a nasty year for the stock market, but a wonderful one for market numerologists. Whether you believe that the war is the source of all current problems or not, have a look at the table below. More information about cycles (including planetary cycles) are included In the cryptocurrency trading course. Major crashes in the stock market are correlated with the Shemitah years. There is another concept related to the Shemitah that is also vital to understand. These opportunistic crops would continue to sprout during a Shemitah year and supply additional food for anyone wanting to eat it. On the seventh year there was to be no sowing, or harvesting any crops whatsoever to let the land rest for one year (Leviticus 25:1-5). 1930-1931: The Great Depression, the worst financial crisis in human history. Let's take a look at the incredibly accurate timing of the Shmita Year as it impacts modern history in and the most physical collapse in American history as the two towers U.S. Voted to Greed and the desire for money caused many in Israel to ignore the Shemitah and the Jubilee. Where the stock market was experiencing a major crash. Investments in securities will not always be profitable. Therefore, the Lord designed into Israels economy periods of rest for the people and for the land. What is generally not known, however, is that this same principle of a weekly Sabbath observance was also extended to time frames involving years, not just days. Today's world is very unstablewatch Bible prophecy unfold before our very eyes! If you make a sale, moreover, to your friend or buy from your friends hand, you shall not wrong one another. Please invest accordingly. With the most speculative year in U.S. stock market history drawing to a close, we could probably all use a rest. Whats different this time, is the number of things that are affected by the ongoing crisis. Note: When using this graph, be careful in interpreting the magnitude of ups and downs in the market over time, because the y-axis is plotted on a logarithmic scale; therefore, relative point changes in the Dow Jones Average are compressed toward the upper right hand side of the graph relative to the lower left hand side (due to the market having higher values in later years). In the same chapter of Leviticus where the Shemitah laws were revealed, Moses went on to describe the laws related to the year of Jubilee: You are also to count off seven sabbaths of years for yourself, seven times seven years, so that you have the time of the seven sabbaths of years, namely, forty-nine years. Because it aligns as well with the fact that September is known to be the worst month for stocks. More specifically, the Shmita comes from the bible, where it states: The seventh year shall be a Sabbath of solemn rest for the land, (Lev. The cycles of the Shemitah and Jubilee releases would therefore continue to smooth out the ups and downs of the economy and reduce the extreme differences between the rich and poor. Your email address will not be published. In the Law of Moses, there was one other instance where a set of seven time periods had an important affect upon Israel and their economy. Britain, the world's greatest empire was almost bankrupt. The reason why this never-ending story takes economists by surprise time and again is that its an article of faith for most of them that human beings are rational. In particular, we should seriously consider whether such a force really exists and if it is affecting the unfolding of world events in the last days. A press release with fourth quarter and fiscal year 2022 financial results will be issued after the market closes that same day. For proof of this fact, Moses said that Israel would only have to remember the Exodus years in the wilderness of Sinai in which God miraculously supplied Manna to eat for 6 days out of every 7 for a total of 40 years. sets of seven years (7x7 Shmita years) points to the 50th year - Jubilee. Let's take a look at the incredibly accurate timing of the Shmita Year as it impacts modern history in the realm of finances, economies, and empires: 1901-1902 Shmita Year - 46% U.S. Stock market value wiped out. A more in depth analysis would conclude that breathing has nothing to do with eventual death, even if everyone who breaths does eventually die. kill its unborn children (Abortion legalized). Is it a coincidence that nearly every economic panic or depression in the US has occurred during or right after a shmita year? Many would say that this is because it cant. A loss for the world: Israeli-American Elan Ganeles, killed by terrorists, buried. This 1.5-year delay occurs, because crops require the wet winter months in Israel to grow and are generally harvested in the springtime or early summer. Table 2. Reppond Investments, Inc. reserves the right to trade different ETFs or mutual funds within a strategy than those reflected in the graphic shown. They are intended to provide general comparative information to help an individual client or prospective client in deciding whether the performance of Reppond Investments, Inc.s strategies meet, or continue to meet, his/her investment objective(s). It is not surprising, therefore, that there are downturns in the market which occur outside of a Shemitah year. I DO NOT GUARANTEE A PARTICULAR OUTCOME I HAVE NO INSIDE KNOWLEDGE! Wheat that grew on its own would be free for all to eat. With the most speculative year in U.S. stock market history drawing to a close, we could probably all use a rest. The Lord promised that he would bless Israel if they followed his ways, and the weekly Sabbath and the seventh-year Shemitah would pose no problems, but be a great blessing. It is worth noting that we are in the middle of a pandemic, and somehow the markets have ignored that. United States enters WWI. Please invest accordingly. The story behind the Shemitah is that the 7th year is the year of resting and releasing. Perhaps the ancient Jews just knew. Israel has two calendars; religious and civil. However, the nations of the world and their economic systems dont follow God or his Laws; thus, there are many more negative effects on the global economic system than just the Shemitah. The year of Ben Reppond(406) 871-3321ben@reppondinvestments.comLearn how we manage money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m4IdPxtjBYo\u0026t=3220sInstagram: @benreppondBloomberg https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3hA3IkauON4CNBC Joe Kernanhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BlmLyfx5tcECNBC Scott Wapnerhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nb1cGFjXXtYJonathan CahnThe Mystery of the Shemitahhttps://www.amazon.com/Mystery-Shemitah-Updated-000-Year-Old-Future/dp/1629994707Produced By http://www.thepyrostudios.comDISCLOSURESThis presentation is for informational purposes only and is not an offer of or solicitation of advisory services. 2022 financial results will be issued after the market closes that same day see things. Think this year could be a year of resting and releasing which occur outside of a super-Shemitah produced significant on... Shmita that a similar cycle applies over seven years has, so far, not thus consecrate the year! 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